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January 25, 2024

What Are the Odds of Getting Quads in Texas Hold’em—Learn the Statistics

Playing Texas hold’em, your objective is to achieve a stronger 5-card poker hand than your opponents. That’s why calculating hand odds is one of the most important skills to possess as a poker enthusiast. 

Quads are the third highest-ranked hand in poker, coming only behind a royal flush and a straight flush. This makes the four of a kind hand both super desirable and exhilarating to play. By studying a standard 52-deck of cards and applying simple math, you can calculate the odds of getting quads in Texas hold’em.

What Are Texas Hold’em Quads?

Image source: aceofnet

Quads is a colloquial term to describe the four of a kind poker hand. The four of a kind includes any four cards that have the same value but are of a different suit and any other fifth card. For example, an A♠️ A♣️ A♥️ A♦️ plus another card would be quads.

The fifth card in a four of a kind hand, often called a side card, can serve as the “kicker,” which can be one of a player’s hole cards or on the community board. Here’s an example:

Hole CardsCommunity BoardFour of a KindKicker
8♥️ 8♠️J♦️ 2♠️ 8♠️ 8♣️ 5♥️8♥️ 8♠️ 8♣️ 8♦️ J♦️ 
J♣️ 8♥️8♦️ 2♠️ 5♥️ 8♠️ 8♣️8♥️ 8♠️ 8♣️ 8♦️ J♦️ 

When two players hit a quad using one or both of their starting cards, the higher-value quad wins the pot. Four of a kind aces is the strongest four of a kind combination and is often referred to as “quad aces.”

Since players can compose a poker hand by discarding their hole cards entirely and using the community cards instead, the player that has the highest-ranked kicker in their starting hand wins. If the kicker is on the board too, the players split the pot.

What Are the Odds of a Four of a Kind in Texas Hold’em?

Image source: aceofnet

Four of a kind is one of the rarest combinations to achieve in Texas hold’em, even if you are dealt a strong hand or a pocket pair pre-flop. To calculate the quad odds in Texas hold’em, it’s important to take note of the key numbers:

  • 52—cards in one deck
  • 13—sets of quads within one deck
  • 12—hands for every set of quads (judging by the 12 possible kickers in a deck)
  • 624—possible hand combinations
  • 123,552—possible five-card hands

This means that your odds of getting a four of a kind hand are 4,164:1, and your probabilities are 0.0256%. Since the board cards play a significant role in poker, let’s look at your chances of getting four of a kind in Texas hold’em on three different stages:

  1. Flop
  2. Turn
  3. River

Flop

Even with three new cards that are dealt face up, your odds of flopping quads in Texas hold’em are still a long shot. You have: 

  • 0.03% chance of flopping quads with any starting pair
  • 0.24% chance of flopping quads with a pocket pair 

Considering that players bet only 25% of their starting hands on average, the odds of flopping a quad diminish to 13,333:1, or once every 13,333 flops.

Turn

Roughly, you have a 2.1% chance of getting a four of a kind hand on the turn, i.e., your odds are 1:47. If you encounter trips, or three of a kind, on the turn, your chances of hitting quads in the later street are statistically higher than ever before, yet still slim. 

River

If you achieve trips on the flop, you have a 4.3% chance of hitting quads on the river. This tells you that even if you reach a three of a kind on the flop or turn, you are extremely unlikely to hit quads by your out being drawn on the river.

How To Play a Four of a Kind in Texas Hold’em

Once you do get quads, you can adopt a more aggressive style owing to your strong hand, but you still have to be strategic. Because it’s such a rare and profitable occurrence, having quads can get you overly confident—if you aren’t good at bluffing, your opponents may be able to predict your hand.

If you are playing with a four of a kind, your hand is probably the strongest in the game. To make the most of it, you should:

  1. Do your best not to show your excitement
  2. Trick your opponents into continuing to call and raise bets
  3. Reveal your quads during the showdown, winning a much larger pot than you would have if your opponents had folded earlier (either by predicting your hand or by not being able to keep up with your wagers)

The Importance of Quads When Playing a Bad Beat Jackpot

Since it’s so rare, four of a kind is almost unbeatable in no-limit Texas hold’em. Even when playing against opponents that have a straight flush, you will likely win some money with quads. 

A bad beat jackpot is a feature many online casinos use to reward players who lost a game of poker with a strong hand, such as a straight flush or a four of a kind. The goal is to compensate players for an uncommon bad beat.

You should familiarize yourself with the exact criteria for winning a portion of the jackpot prize since different tournaments might have different rules. For example, one of the common rules is to have already been dealt a pocket pair.

Unlock Your Winning Streak by Playing Online Texas Hold’em

Image source: Jarosław Kwoczała

To become an expert Texas hold’em player, you should perfect your strategy with plenty of practice.

With the rise of online casinos in Canada, there is no shortage of venues where you can play online poker on your desktop or by downloading a handy app. To help you remain safe with your online gambling, we have composed a list of renowned and legitimate online casino sites for you to choose from:

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By learning how to calculate the odds of getting quads in Texas hold’em, you can play with more confidence and upgrade your poker strategy in the long run. So, claim your seat at any of the above-listed venues and perfect your Texas hold’em betting style.

Featured image source: Unsplash+

Tuomas Laine

Navigating offers and finding the best, Tuomas is our dedicated Casino Bonus Hunter

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